I've gone on record as saying a two loss team will play for the title. I've gotten a lot of strange looks and even now some of you are scoffing out loud at your computer screens. Its absurd I know, but here's how real that possibility is. This is the list of teams that must lose before a two loss team is in the game. and For the record, the two loss gold standard will be the highest ranked two loss team, Florida. So Imagine if the Gators win out with wins over Kentucky, South Carolina, UGA, FSU, and LSU(SEC-CG). Any team who with one loss who would look worse than that record doesn't have to lose twice, I'm looking at you Kansas.
Teams that need to Lose:
1Ohio State
2Ohio State
3BC
4BC
5Oklahoma
6LSU
7S. Florida
8S. Carolina
9Oregon
10Kentucky
11W. Virginia
12Cal
13Va Tech
14ASU
15USC
16Kansas
17Missiouri
17 games. With 6 weeks and three championship games left. I know it doesn't look good. Thats three losses per week. Although, three upsets a week is the pace we've been on.
And heres how the number shrinks:
Some losses are unavoidable. Anytime two of these teams play, a loss is guaranteed. So here are the games left with certain losses-
BC vs. VaTech (if VaTech wins, then they'll play again in the ACC-CG, and another loss is guaranteed.)
LSU vs. Kentucky/S. Carolina (SEC - CG)
Kansas vs. Missouri
Oklahoma vs. Kansas/Missouri (B12 -CG)
-Oregon vs. USC
-Oregon vs. ASU
-USC vs. Cal
-ASU vs. Cal
-ASU vs USC
(these five games count as two, because two of four teams are guaranteed to have 2 losses)
Thats 5 losses, which brings our total down to 12. Then you take away one, because there can be one team with one loss, So 11. (IF that team is an undefeated OSU/BC then its only 10). 11 losses in six weeks seems almost easy by this season's standards. And here are some of the games that could be one of the 11:
Ohio St. @Michigan or vs. Wisconsin or vs. Illinios or @Penn State
BC vs FSU or Miami or @ Clemson
Oklahoma @ Texas Tech
LSU vs Auburn or @ Alabama
S. Carolina vs Florida or @ Tennessee or vs Clemson
Kentucky vs Florida or @UGA or vs. Tennessee
Oregon vs. USC or vs ASU
Cal vs. USC or @ ASU
USC @Cal or @ Oregon or @ASU
ASU @ Oregon or vs. Cal or vs. USC
VaTech vs. FSU or Miami
West Virginia @Rutgers or vs. Lousiville or vs Miss St.
South Florida vs. Cincy or vs. Louisville
Missouri vs. Texas Tech @Kstate
Kansas vs. Anyone
Thats about 30 games where the underdog has a shot. So there you go - 11 games, 11 upsets, out of 30 or so good match-ups. And then you can start picturing real BCS meltdown. (Who's two losses are the best?). Also, even if the 2 loss team doesn't make it, you can start imagining Championship match-ups like Ohio State vs. Kansas - we're only 9 losses away from that - Or maybe lame rematches like Oregon vs Cal or South Carolina vs Kentucky - 10 losses away from each of those. Really, any of these 15 teams could be in against any one of the other 15. West Virginia vs. Arizona State ..... Oregon vs. Missouri .... VaTech vs. LSU .... BC vs. Kentucky - All just Ten Games (or less) away.
As I see it, the teams with the best shot at surviving are as follows:
Oklahoma
Oregon
Cal
LSU
Ohio State
BC
W. Virginia
Good luck to everyone. This season is truly a 13 week playoff. Double elimination playoff... maybe. maybe Triple elimination?
Can someone look up if any two loss team has ever won a title? My guess is one of those phony Bama titles had two losses, or its something Notre Dame did before WWII that they still brag about.
just wanted to get this out there before this weekend, I'm calling it 6 weeks in advance! I want credit when it happens dang it
2 comments:
Stranger things have not happened, at least not since 1960. That's the last time a two-loss team claimed any share of a national title, when Minnesota was crowned No. 1 by the AP before the bowl games were played -- then the Gophers were beaten by Washington in the Rose Bowl.
It's from espn
Yeah, I read that, along with the mention of it in other places too. Its time to take the possibility seriously. Three of the 11 losses happened Saturday (8 to go). Lets not get our hopes up for the gators just yet, but we are first in line.
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